January 2026 Recap: +162 Units, 16% ROI
4,051 bets. One of the best months yet. Plus VALORANT went live and immediately started printing.
+162 units. 4,051 bets. 16% ROI.
That's January 2026. One of the best months the model has had. A $10 flat bettor following every play would've cleared $1,600+ in 31 days. The kind of month that makes the grind feel worth it.
It also came right after December, which was rough. I'm not going to pretend otherwise. The model took some hits, variance did its thing, and a few people in Discord started asking if the edge was gone. Fair question. The only real answer was to keep betting and see what January looked like.
It looked good.
The numbers
- Record: 2,372–1,679
- Net units: +161.97
- ROI: +16%
A $10 flat bettor following every play ended January up about $1,619.
No single day carried the month. No one esport saved us. League hit at its usual clip. It's the most dialed-in model I have, even if the volume is lower. CS2 made up for it with sheer quantity. The wins came from grinding hundreds of +EV spots, day after day. That's the boring answer, but it's the real one.
VALORANT is live (and it's printing)
BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: VALORANT is now part of the model. I added it January 8th, so we've got about three weeks of data. Here's what happened:
- Record: 283–162
- Net units: +69.09
- ROI: +62.1%
62% ROI in three weeks. Obviously that's not going to hold forever. Books will adjust, sample size will regress things toward reality. But this is exactly what you want to see when a new market gets added: fat edges, slow-moving lines, and props that haven't been sharpened yet.
I've been building and iterating on the VALORANT model for months, stalking the markets the whole time. It doesn't go live just because a game is popular. It goes live when I'm confident the edge is real. January 8th was that moment, and the early results backed it up.
What this month actually proved
December sucked. January ripped. That's variance. If you've been around long enough, you know both are going to happen. The question is whether the underlying edge is real. Over 4,000 bets at +16% ROI says yes.
This model isn't for people who want a lock of the day. It's +EV volume betting. You're placing dozens of bets daily, trusting that small edges compound over time. Some days you'll be down. Some weeks, even. But if you stick with it, months like January happen.
If you're new here you might be wondering who the hell I am. Well I'm Larry, LCSLarry. A software engineer and data scientist who's been building esports betting models since 2023. Six figures in lifetime profit, 50% ROI all-time on high-variance 6-leg parlays, and I've been banned from every sportsbook I've ever made an account on because my models kept beating their lines. Since I can't bet anymore, I figured I might as well help other people do it. That's why this exists.
If you want to try it, there's a free 3-day trial. AI models backed by real statistics and data science, scanning esports prop markets 24/7 and spitting out ready-to-bet +EV slips. Takes about 15 minutes a day once you get the hang of it. If not, see you next month when I tell you how February went.
