Why Opening and Closing Lines Matter in Betting And How My Model Beats Both

In the world of sports betting, understanding the difference between an opening line and a closing line is key to becoming a sharper bettor.

• The opening line is the first version of the odds that a sportsbook releases. It's set based on internal models, early market sentiment, and projected player performance.
• The closing line is the final price just before the game starts and it's typically the most accurate. By this point, sportsbooks have adjusted for betting volume, injury news, starting rosters, and any other available information. Beating this number consistently is extremely difficult, even for professionals.

So what does this have to do with the LCSLarry x Juiced Bets Esports Model?

Everything.

I've built a model that not only crushes the opening line, but also outperforms the market at the closing line. Something that most betting tools can't claim.

📈 Opening Line Performance: Unreal Results

When I track how my model performs using opening lines, the results are ridiculous. Over thousands of tracked bets, the model is delivering a ROI of 56% and a win rate of 63% (pulled directly from lcslarry.com).

That's the kind of edge that experienced bettors dream about — and it proves that my projections are consistently ahead of the market.

🕒 What If You Miss the Opening Line?

I get it. Not everyone can bet right when lines drop. Life happens, and sometimes you aren't able to place bets right as projections release.

Here's the good news: you can still tail profitably.

Even when I compare my results against closing lines, where all public information is supposedly priced in, the model continues to win. In fact, it maintains a positive ROI even against the most efficient line possible.

That's nearly unheard of.

Most bettors — even sharp ones — measure success by how often they beat the closing line value (CLV), not by whether they make money after the closing line. But my model? It does both.

🧠 Beating the Closing Line = Beating the Market

To beat the closing line with consistency is rare. To show a positive ROI betting at the closing number is insane. Why?

Because the closing line reflects the collective wisdom of the market — the sharpest minds, biggest bankrolls, and most accurate data have all contributed to shaping it. If you're winning even after that line has settled, it means your model has found true inefficiencies that even the market can't price correctly.

That's exactly what I've done with my esports model.

Bottom Line

Yes, it's always optimal to get your bets in early. That's where you'll find the biggest edges. But even if you're late to the party, my data proves you're still showing up to a profitable one.

If you want to tail a model that beats the market from open to close, check out my full performance and access the picks at https://whop.com/esports-model/.