Top 5 Mistakes Bettors Make When Using the LCSLarry Model (and How to Avoid Them)

The LCSLarry Esports Model has quickly become one of the most trusted tools in esports betting. With its data-driven approach and consistent positive ROI, it's helped hundreds of bettors profit across PrizePicks, Underdog, and other DFS platforms.

But here's the catch: not everyone uses it the right way. Some new bettors jump in too fast, mismanage their bankroll, or overexpose themselves to a single play. These are mistakes that can erase the very edge the model provides.

If you've ever wondered why some members are consistently cashing out while others struggle despite having the same data, this article is for you. Let's go over the five most common mistakes bettors make when using the LCSLarry Esports Model, and how to fix them so you can maximize your edge.

LCSLarry profit graph all time — As of October 27th 2025, the LCSLarry model has an all-time ROI of 35% (if betting 4-mans) with over 18,000 props tracked. See the results for yourself at lcslarry.com.

1. Ignoring Line Bumps

The model's value comes from posting +EV plays before the market adjusts. You can see this by comparing opening line vs closing line results. If you bet the moment lines drop, you'll be way more profitable. When you wait too long to enter, that edge disappears.

❌ Mistake

Placing bets on bumped lines, long after the line has moved.

✅ Fix

Bet the opening lines before they bump. Turn on line-drop alerts and act quickly. If a line has shifted by more than 10%, the +EV edge is greatly diminished. Even if the model says there's value left. The safest option: move on to the next play instead of forcing it.

2. Betting Too Big, Too Soon

The model's edge plays out over volume, not single bets. Going too heavy early can wipe you out before variance evens out. Parlays have asymmetric payouts. That means one good day can make up for weeks of losses. You need to be able to weather the storm. If you run out of money due to a bad week, you'll miss out the insane days that make your month.

❌ Mistake

Betting >20% of your bankroll on a few slips or a single slate. Letting one bad day wipe you out.

✅ Fix

Don't nuke the plays. The model is built for volume, so bet as many +EV slips as possible. Keep wagers between 0.5-1% of your total bankroll (or lower if volume is high). Think in terms of hundreds of bets, not single-day swings.

3. Overexposure to a Single Outcome

Even the sharpest projections lose sometimes. If too much of your bankroll depends on a single player, game, or correlation, a bad beat can wreck your week.

❌ Mistake

Loading up too many slips around the same player or match because there may not be that many bets that day.

✅ Fix

Diversify your exposure. Spread bets across multiple leagues, teams, or player props. The model is built for volume. Focus on the long-term math, your edge compounds over time, not in one night.

4. Mixing Emotion with Math

Variance is part of the game. When emotions take over, you might start fading model picks or doubling down to chase losses.

❌ Mistake

Letting recency bias influence your decisions.

✅ Fix

Trust the process. Remember that the model is built on probability, not emotion. Model plays have a 35% ROI after tracking 18,000 props over 8 months. A few down days don't invalidate a proven track record of positive results.

5. Treating the Model Like a Magic Wand

The LCSLarry Model is a tool, not a shortcut to instant profits. Even with a profitable system, the reality is it's not possible to win every day. Downswings are inevitable. Bad weeks happen. But if I had quit after one bad week, I wouldn't have made over +$100,000 in profit on PrizePicks and Underdog. Long-term winners understand that discipline and consistency are just as important as data.

❌ Mistake

Expecting immediate profits or quitting during a downswing.

✅ Fix

Stay consistent with the process. Commit to long-term ROI goals (monthly or seasonal). You don't need to win every day, you just need to stay in the game.

Final Thoughts

The difference between a winning bettor and a losing one often comes down to execution. The LCSLarry Model gives you elite-level data and it's up to you to manage variance, stay disciplined, and think in terms of long-term EV.

Follow these principles, and you'll turn the model into what it was designed to be: a consistent, mathematical edge over the market.

Ready to bet smarter?

Try the LCSLarry Model at lcslarry.com and start betting with a proven edge today.